Experts Doubt Year-End Stock Rally: Insights from Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson
Market expert Michael Wilson of Morgan Stanley casts doubt on a year-end stock rally. Learn why interest rates and earnings play a crucial role.
Many people were hoping that the stock market would go up at the end of the year. But a smart person from Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, says that might not happen.
He said, "It's not very likely that we will see the stock market go up a lot in the last part of the year." Wilson is really good at figuring out how to invest money, and a big survey said he's the best at it.
Wilson has been saying for the past three months that he's not very positive about the stock market. This is because people are worried about interest rates going up. On Friday, something called the S&P 500, which measures how well the stock market is doing, went down a lot. It was 10% less than it was before.
Now, people are watching to see how much money companies are making. This helps them guess how well the stock market will do in the future. They're also looking at how well companies can handle things like higher interest rates.
Wilson thinks people are hoping that companies will make too much money in the last part of this year and in 2024. Even though the economy is doing okay, he doesn't think things will be that good. He also says that the government might not be able to help much, and they might even make things more strict. He also thinks that many companies might not make as much money as people think.
Wilson also sees that the government making interest rates higher is starting to have an effect on the economy. Some types of companies that are sensitive to interest rates have been doing worse lately, while other types that are more stable have been doing better, especially in the energy sector.
So, Wilson believes that right now, people are more worried about how much the economy is growing than about interest rates and how much companies are worth.
Also Read: Economic Turbulence: U.S. Interest Rates Rise, Global Markets React