Gold Prices Expected to Jump 10% in a Year, Reaching Record Highs

Industry experts predict a 10% rise in gold prices, reaching $2,917 per ounce by late 2025. Silver is also expected to surge 40%, according to the LBMA survey

Oct 16, 2024 - 00:15
Oct 16, 2024 - 00:16
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Gold Prices Expected to Jump 10% in a Year, Reaching Record Highs
Gold Prices Expected to Jump 10% in a Year, Reaching Record Highs

Gold prices are set to reach record levels over the next 12 months, with experts in the bullion industry predicting a surge of around 10%. According to a survey conducted at the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) event in Miami, traders, refiners, and miners expect gold to hit $2,917.40 per ounce by late October 2025. This forecast is based on the average of predictions gathered from key industry figures during the two-day conference.

Why Gold is Gaining Momentum

Gold has been one of the strongest-performing commodities in 2024, and several factors are driving this upward trend:

  • Safe-Haven Asset: Gold is often seen as a “safe-haven” asset during times of economic uncertainty. When investors worry about inflation, market volatility, or geopolitical tensions, they tend to buy gold to protect their wealth.

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  • Diversification Tool: Many investors use gold as part of a diversified investment strategy to balance their portfolios, especially when other asset classes like stocks or bonds may be performing poorly.

  • Central Bank Buying: Central banks around the world have been buying gold to increase their reserves. This adds demand to the market and helps push up prices.

In 2024, gold has set multiple records, driven by the Federal Reserve's shift toward cutting interest rates. When interest rates are low, non-yielding assets like gold become more attractive, as there’s less opportunity cost compared to holding other investments that generate interest.

Current Gold and Silver Prices

As of now, gold is trading around $2,663 per ounce. Though it's slightly below its recent peak of $2,685 per ounce, the metal is still performing strongly. Investors are keeping a close eye on the market, and many expect even higher prices as economic conditions remain uncertain.

In addition to gold, silver is also poised for significant gains. The LBMA survey forecasts that silver will see an impressive rise of over 40%, potentially reaching $45 per ounce within the next year. Silver, like gold, is often used by investors to hedge against inflation and diversify their portfolios.

Understanding How Gold Prices Work

It’s important to understand how gold prices are influenced by various factors. Here are a few key points:

  • Interest Rates: When central banks, like the U.S. Federal Reserve, lower interest rates, it makes borrowing money cheaper. This can lead to more economic activity, but it also reduces the returns on assets like bonds, making gold more attractive.

  • Supply and Demand: Like any other commodity, the price of gold is affected by supply and demand. If there’s a higher demand for gold from investors or central banks, the price usually rises. Conversely, if the supply increases due to more gold being mined, prices may fall.

  • Currency Movements: Gold is often priced in U.S. dollars, so changes in the value of the dollar can impact the price of gold. For example, when the dollar weakens, gold becomes cheaper for buyers using other currencies, which can increase demand and push up the price.

What Does This Mean for Investors?

For investors looking to benefit from rising gold prices, it’s worth noting that gold tends to perform well during periods of economic uncertainty or low interest rates. If the current economic trends continue, gold could be a solid investment for the next year.

Investing in precious metals like gold and silver can be a smart way to hedge against inflation and diversify your portfolio. However, it’s important to remember that gold prices can fluctuate, and it's always a good idea to consult with a financial advisor before making large investment decisions.

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