Nvidia Stock Rises as Wall Street Analysts Reaffirm Confidence Amid Competition

Nvidia stock gains 3% as analysts highlight its tech leadership, despite challenges from custom AI chips and slowing Big Tech AI investments.

Dec 18, 2024 - 10:37
Dec 18, 2024 - 10:38
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Nvidia Stock Rises as Wall Street Analysts Reaffirm Confidence Amid Competition
Nvidia Stock Rises as Wall Street Analysts Reaffirm Confidence Amid Competition

Nvidia stock rose over 3% on Wednesday following a series of positive analyst reports. This comes after the stock had dropped 12% from its November high of $148.88, driven by concerns about growing competition and slowing demand for AI chips. Despite these headwinds, Wall Street analysts continue to support the company, citing its technological dominance and strategic growth plans.

Wall Street Analysts Remain Bullish

Leading financial institutions, including Morgan Stanley, Truist, TD Cowen, and Bernstein, have reiterated their “Buy” ratings for Nvidia. Truist analyst William Stein raised his price target on the stock from $169 to $204, emphasizing Nvidia's leadership in AI chip technology.

According to Stein, Nvidia’s comprehensive technology stack—spanning hardware, software, and support—remains unmatched. Morgan Stanley echoed this sentiment, pointing out that Nvidia’s ability to innovate and execute consistently raises the bar for its competitors, securing its dominant position in the market.

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Competition from Custom AI Chips

While Nvidia is the current leader in AI chips, it faces growing competition from custom-built chips designed by tech giants such as Google, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, and Amazon. These custom chips, known as ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits), are tailored to specific tasks and often provide a cheaper and more efficient alternative to Nvidia’s GPUs.

Broadcom, a major chipmaker, recently announced it is developing custom AI chips for two new clients, rumored to be OpenAI and Apple. This development boosted Broadcom’s stock while raising concerns for Nvidia. A Morgan Stanley report predicts that custom chips could grow their share of the AI chip market from 11% in 2024 to 15% by 2030, challenging Nvidia’s dominance.

Concerns About AI Investment Slowdowns

Another factor weighing on Nvidia is the possibility of slower spending on AI infrastructure. Microsoft and Google, two major players in the AI space, have recently indicated in their earnings reports that their AI-related investments may grow at a slower pace moving forward.

Additionally, there are concerns that AI development might no longer progress at the rapid pace seen in recent years. If true, this could reduce demand for cutting-edge hardware like Nvidia’s GPUs. However, TD Cowen analyst Joshua Buchalter noted that Nvidia is aware of these risks but remains confident in the industry’s ability to innovate and grow over time.

Nvidia’s Plans for Future Expansion

Looking ahead, Nvidia is positioning itself to capture new opportunities in the semiconductor market. Truist’s Stein predicts that Nvidia will release a standalone CPU (central processing unit) by 2025. CPUs are the core processing units in computers and servers, and Nvidia’s entry into this space could open up a $35 billion market.

Currently, Nvidia sells its Grace CPUs as part of its AI server solutions, alongside its Blackwell GPUs. However, launching standalone CPUs would allow Nvidia to compete more directly with companies like Intel and AMD, further diversifying its revenue streams and strengthening its position in the semiconductor industry.

Why Nvidia Remains a Market Leader

Despite the challenges, analysts believe Nvidia is well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the AI chip market. Key reasons include:

  • Technological Superiority: Nvidia’s GPUs remain the gold standard for AI workloads, offering unmatched performance and efficiency.

  • Strong Execution: The company’s ability to consistently innovate has kept it ahead of competitors.

  • Diverse Opportunities: Nvidia is exploring new markets, such as standalone CPUs, to drive future growth.

  • AI Industry Growth: Even with potential slowdowns, AI technology is expected to remain a key driver of innovation and investment.

For investors, Nvidia’s recent rebound highlights its resilience and ability to adapt to industry challenges. While competition from custom chips and reduced AI spending could impact growth, Nvidia’s leadership in technology, coupled with its expansion plans, make it a strong contender in the semiconductor industry.

Also Read: Nvidia Stock Drops Amid Slower AI Spending and Rising Competition

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